Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAnstey Nomads to win ✗43% · @2.38
Double chanceAnstey Nomads or draw ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Anstey Nomads vs Leiston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Anstey Nomads welcome Leiston for a Non League Premier Southern Central fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Anstey Nomads are 7th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Leiston are 17th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Anstey Nomads, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Racing Club Warwick, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leiston, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gorleston, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Anstey Nomads, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Leiston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anstey Nomads 2.1 xG, Leiston 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anstey Nomads 43%, draw 32%, Leiston 26%.
Lower-risk option: Anstey Nomads or draw (74%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Anstey Nomads or draw (74%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anstey Nomads 2–1 Leiston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anstey Nomads43%fair 2.33 · @2.38
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @3.50
Leiston26%fair 3.90 · @2.45
3.45Expected goals
2.08Anstey Nomads xG
1.37Leiston xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Anstey Nomads 2.1 – 1.4 Leiston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anstey Nomads to win✗
43%
2.33
2.38
Double chance
Anstey Nomads or draw✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Anstey Nomads (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Leiston +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Anstey Nomads to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Anstey Nomads ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anstey Nomads / FT Anstey Nomads✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Anstey Nomads – last 6
WWWWWD
6 Apr
vs Racing Club Warwick
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Basford United
4–0
W
24 Mar
@ Carlton Town
6–0
W
10 Mar
vs Mickleover Sports
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs St Neots Town
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Loughborough University
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leiston – last 6
WWWLLW
28 Jul
@ Gorleston
3–1
W
10 Jul
@ Aveley
4–2
W
14 Apr
@ Real Bedford
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Bury Town
1–3
L
3 Apr
@ Redditch United
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Sudbury
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anstey Nomads and Leiston.
What is the prediction for Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Our pick is Anstey Nomads or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
On our numbers Anstey Nomads have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Leiston 26%.
How many goals will there be in Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Our predicted score is Anstey Nomads 2–1 Leiston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Anstey Nomads vs Leiston (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
