Stourbridge v Racing Club Warwick Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultStourbridge to win ✗62% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Stourbridge v Racing Club Warwick in the Non League Premier Southern Central. In the table, Stourbridge are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Racing Club Warwick are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Stourbridge, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alvechurch, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Racing Club Warwick, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Worcester City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stourbridge 1.7 xG, Racing Club Warwick 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Stourbridge 62%, draw 14%, Racing Club Warwick 24%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stourbridge to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stourbridge 1–0 Racing Club Warwick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stourbridge62%fair 1.61 · @1.73

Draw14%fair 7.09 · @3.70

Racing Club Warwick24%fair 4.21 · @3.60

2.59Expected goals

1.72Stourbridge xG

0.87Racing Club Warwick xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: Stourbridge 1.7 – 0.9 Racing Club Warwick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Stourbridge to win ✗	62%	1.61	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	86%	1.16	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.71	1.62
Draw no bet	Stourbridge (draw no bet) ✗	72%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	Racing Club Warwick +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Stourbridge to score first ✗	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Stourbridge / FT Stourbridge ✗	35%	2.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.36	–

Stourbridge – last 6

DWLDLD

29 Sep	@ Alvechurch	0–0	D
26 Sep	@ Rushall Olympic	3–1	W
22 Sep	vs Real Bedford	1–4	L
12 Sep	@ Hitchin Town	1–1	D
1 Sep	vs Leamington	0–2	L
29 Aug	@ Banbury United	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Racing Club Warwick – last 6

DLLLLW

29 Sep	vs Worcester City	2–2	D
26 Sep	vs Bromsgrove Sporting	0–1	L
21 Sep	@ Redditch United	1–2	L
19 Sep	@ Alvechurch	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Anstey Nomads	2–3	L
5 Sep	@ Lye Town	5–1	W

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	+24	41
2	Bromsgrove Sporting	16	11	4	1	+16	37
3	Bury Town	18	11	3	4	+5	36
4	Kettering Town	17	9	4	4	+12	31
5	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	+7	30
6	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	+15	29
7	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	+9	29
8	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	+12	28
9	Rushall Olympic	18	9	1	8	+4	28
10	Halesowen Town	15	7	3	5	0	24
11	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	-2	22
12	Stratford Town	17	5	7	5	-4	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	0	20
14	Redditch United	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	-1	16
16	Hitchin Town	16	4	4	8	-4	16
17	Leiston	15	4	3	8	-7	15
18	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	-11	14
19	Banbury United	17	3	5	9	-12	14
20	Leamington	17	3	4	10	-9	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	-19	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	-35	5

Team

Pts

+24

+16

+12

+15

+12

-2

-4

-1

-4

-7

-11

-12

-9

-19

-35

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?

Our pick is Stourbridge to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?

On our numbers Stourbridge have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Racing Club Warwick 24%.

How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?

Our predicted score is Stourbridge 1–0 Racing Club Warwick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick?

Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Stourbridge v Racing Club Warwick: numbers & prediction