Value bet: Stourbridge to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBury Town to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 33.67
Bury Town vs Stourbridge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Bury Town v Stourbridge in the Non League Premier Southern Central. In the table, Bury Town are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Stourbridge are 11th (upper half) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bury Town, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Needham Market, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Stourbridge, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Worcester City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stourbridge, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bury Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bury Town 1.4 xG, Stourbridge 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bury Town 41%, draw 21%, Stourbridge 38%.
Price worth noting: Stourbridge to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bury Town 2–1 Stourbridge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bury Town41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Stourbridge38%fair 2.62 · @3.00
2.78Expected goals
1.42Bury Town xG
1.36Stourbridge xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Bury Town 1.4 – 1.4 Stourbridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury Town to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Bury Town (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Stourbridge +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Bury Town to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury Town / FT Bury Town✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
3%
33.67
–
Recent results
Bury Town – last 6
LWLDWL
13 Oct
vs Needham Market
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Alvechurch
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Spalding United
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Spalding United
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Bishop's Stortford
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ St Albans City
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stourbridge – last 6
WWLDWL
13 Oct
@ Worcester City
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Leighton Town
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Racing Club Warwick
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Alvechurch
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Rushall Olympic
3–1
W
22 Sep
vs Real Bedford
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bury Town and Stourbridge.
What is the prediction for Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
On our numbers Bury Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stourbridge 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
Our predicted score is Bury Town 2–1 Stourbridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
Bury Town vs Stourbridge (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
