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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Needham Market v Stourbridge: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Needham Market 46%Draw 20%Stourbridge 33% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.39
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultNeedham Market to win ✓46% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Needham Market vs Stourbridge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Needham Market v Stourbridge in the Non League Premier Southern Central. In the table, Needham Market are 8th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Stourbridge are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Needham Market, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Redditch United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Stourbridge, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kettering Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Stourbridge, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Needham Market.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Stourbridge 0–1 Needham Market.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Needham Market 1.7 xG, Stourbridge 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Needham Market 46%, draw 20%, Stourbridge 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Needham Market 1–1 Stourbridge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Needham Market46%fair 2.15 · @2.11
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.54
Stourbridge33%fair 3.00 · @2.73
3.08Expected goals
1.69Needham Market xG
1.39Stourbridge xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Needham Market 1.7 – 1.4 Stourbridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNeedham Market to win ✓46%2.152.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.50
Draw no betNeedham Market (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapStourbridge +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.13
First team to scoreNeedham Market to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Needham Market / FT Needham Market ✓27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Needham Market – last 6

DDLWWW
31 Oct@ Redditch United3–3D
27 Octvs Leighton Town1–1D
24 Octvs Wingate & Finchley0–2L
20 Octvs Bishop's Stortford2–1W
17 Oct@ Leamington2–1W
13 Oct@ Bury Town5–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stourbridge – last 6

WWWLWW
31 Octvs Kettering Town4–1W
27 Oct@ Real Bedford1–0W
24 Oct@ Loughborough University2–0W
17 Oct@ Bury Town0–2L
13 Oct@ Worcester City3–1W
10 Octvs Leighton Town2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Stourbridge v Needham Market0–1
Needham Market vs Stourbridge head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern Central table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford181323+2441
2Bromsgrove Sporting161141+1637
3Bury Town181134+536
4Kettering Town17944+1231
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Alvechurch15852+1529
7Anstey Nomads16853+929
8Needham Market16844+1228
9Rushall Olympic18918+428
10Halesowen Town15735024
11Stourbridge16646-222
12Stratford Town17575-422
13Racing Club Warwick17557020
14Redditch United15465018
15Worcester City14446-116
16Hitchin Town16448-416
17Leiston15438-715
18Bishop's Stortford174211-1114
19Banbury United17359-1214
20Leamington173410-913
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Needham Market vs Stourbridge?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Needham Market vs Stourbridge?

On our numbers Needham Market have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stourbridge 33%.

How many goals will there be in Needham Market vs Stourbridge?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Needham Market vs Stourbridge?

Our predicted score is Needham Market 1–1 Stourbridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Needham Market vs Stourbridge?

Needham Market vs Stourbridge (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.