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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stourbridge v Alvechurch: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Stourbridge 40%Draw 22%Alvechurch 38% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.38
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultStourbridge to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Stourbridge vs Alvechurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 November the Non League Premier Southern Central brings Stourbridge against Alvechurch. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Stourbridge are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Alvechurch are 6th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Stourbridge, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Needham Market, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Alvechurch, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Plymouth, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Stourbridge, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Alvechurch.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Alvechurch 0–0 Stourbridge. The last 3 head-to-heads: Stourbridge 1 win, Alvechurch 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stourbridge 1.4 xG, Alvechurch 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stourbridge 40%, draw 22%, Alvechurch 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stourbridge 1–1 Alvechurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stourbridge40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Alvechurch38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
2.80Expected goals
1.43Stourbridge xG
1.38Alvechurch xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Stourbridge 1.4 – 1.4 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStourbridge to win ✗40%2.512.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.53
Draw no betStourbridge (draw no bet) ✗51%1.94–
Asian handicapAlvechurch +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.231.17
First team to scoreStourbridge to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stourbridge / FT Stourbridge ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.78–

Recent results

Stourbridge – last 6

LWWWLW
7 Nov@ Needham Market1–4L
31 Octvs Kettering Town4–1W
27 Oct@ Real Bedford1–0W
24 Oct@ Loughborough University2–0W
17 Oct@ Bury Town0–2L
13 Oct@ Worcester City3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alvechurch – last 6

LWDDWD
7 Nov@ Plymouth0–4L
31 Oct@ Leiston3–1W
27 Octvs Anstey Nomads2–2D
24 Oct@ Stratford Town4–4D
20 Octvs Spalding United4–0W
17 Oct@ Spalding United2–2D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Alvechurch v Stourbridge0–0
6 Apr 2026Stourbridge v Alvechurch1–1
3 Mar 2026Alvechurch v Stourbridge1–2
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern Central table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford181323+2441
2Bromsgrove Sporting161141+1637
3Bury Town181134+536
4Kettering Town17944+1231
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Alvechurch15852+1529
7Anstey Nomads16853+929
8Needham Market16844+1228
9Rushall Olympic18918+428
10Halesowen Town15735024
11Stourbridge16646-222
12Stratford Town17575-422
13Racing Club Warwick17557020
14Redditch United15465018
15Worcester City14446-116
16Hitchin Town16448-416
17Leiston15438-715
18Bishop's Stortford174211-1114
19Banbury United17359-1214
20Leamington173410-913
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

On our numbers Stourbridge have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alvechurch 38%.

How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Our predicted score is Stourbridge 1–1 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Stourbridge vs Alvechurch (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.