Poole Town 62%Draw 23%Basingstoke Town 15%Expected goals 2.20 – 1.05
62%
Betarazi pick
Poole Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPoole Town to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chancePoole Town or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Basingstoke Town travel to face Poole Town on Saturday 15 August in the Non League Premier Southern South – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Poole Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Basingstoke Town are 16th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Poole Town, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sholing, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Basingstoke Town, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hanwell Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poole Town 2.2 xG, Basingstoke Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poole Town 62%, draw 23%, Basingstoke Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Poole Town or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Poole Town to win (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poole Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poole Town62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Basingstoke Town15%fair 6.48 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.20Poole Town xG
1.05Basingstoke Town xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Poole Town 2.2 – 1.1 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poole Town to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Poole Town or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
Poole Town (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Poole Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Poole Town to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Poole Town ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poole Town / FT Poole Town✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Poole Town – last 6
LWWDDL
11 Aug
vs Sholing
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Chichester City
2–1
W
14 Jul
vs Eastleigh
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Cardiff City U21
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Gloucester City
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Wimborne Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Basingstoke Town – last 6
LLWWLW
11 Aug
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Evesham United
2–4
L
14 Jul
@ Slough Town
4–2
W
6 Apr
vs Sholing
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Plymouth Parkway
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Tiverton Town
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poole Town and Basingstoke Town.
What is the prediction for Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Our pick is Poole Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
On our numbers Poole Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Basingstoke Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Our predicted score is Poole Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
