Chertsey Town 65%Draw 21%Malvern Town 14%Expected goals 2.37 – 1.07
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultChertsey Town to win ✓65% · @1.42
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chertsey Town welcome Malvern Town for a Non League Premier Southern South fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chertsey Town are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Malvern Town are 21st (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chertsey Town, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Carshalton Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Malvern Town, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Redditch United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chertsey Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Malvern Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chertsey Town 2.4 xG, Malvern Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chertsey Town 65%, draw 21%, Malvern Town 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertsey Town 2–1 Malvern Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chertsey Town65%fair 1.54 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Malvern Town14%fair 6.93 · @5.50
3.45Expected goals
2.37Chertsey Town xG
1.07Malvern Town xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chertsey Town 2.4 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertsey Town to win✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Double chance
Chertsey Town or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Chertsey Town (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Chertsey Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Chertsey Town to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Chertsey Town ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Chertsey Town – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Frome Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sholing
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Yate Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Berkhamsted
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malvern Town – last 6
DLLLDL
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wimborne Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bracknell Town
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Taunton Town
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Malvern Town.
What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malvern Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
