Basingstoke Town 41%Draw 20%Gosport Borough 39%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.49
58%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Gosport Borough to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBasingstoke Town to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Non League Premier Southern South brings Basingstoke Town against Gosport Borough. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Basingstoke Town are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Gosport Borough are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Basingstoke Town, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gloucester City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Gosport Borough, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Taunton Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basingstoke Town 1.6 xG, Gosport Borough 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basingstoke Town 41%, draw 20%, Gosport Borough 39%.
Price worth noting: Gosport Borough to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basingstoke Town 2–1 Gosport Borough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basingstoke Town41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Gosport Borough39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
3.05Expected goals
1.55Basingstoke Town xG
1.49Gosport Borough xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Basingstoke Town 1.6 – 1.5 Gosport Borough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basingstoke Town to win✗
41%
2.42
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Basingstoke Town (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Gosport Borough +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Basingstoke Town to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basingstoke Town / FT Basingstoke Town✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Basingstoke Town – last 6
DDWLDW
12 Sep
@ Gloucester City
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Bracknell Town
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Taunton Town
3–4
L
22 Aug
vs Bath City
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Poole Town
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gosport Borough – last 6
WLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Taunton Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Plymouth Parkway
1–3
L
31 Aug
@ Sholing
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Malvern Town
4–2
W
22 Aug
@ Frome Town
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Uxbridge
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basingstoke Town and Gosport Borough.
What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
On our numbers Basingstoke Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gosport Borough 39%.
How many goals will there be in Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Our predicted score is Basingstoke Town 2–1 Gosport Borough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
