Malvern Town 15%Draw 24%Gloucester City 61%Expected goals 1.12 – 2.31
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultGloucester City to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceGloucester City or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 22 September: Malvern Town v Gloucester City in the Non League Premier Southern South. In the table, Malvern Town are 21st, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Gloucester City are 19th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Malvern Town, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Chertsey Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gloucester City, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AFC Totton, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gloucester City, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Malvern Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malvern Town 1.1 xG, Gloucester City 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malvern Town 15%, draw 24%, Gloucester City 61%.
Lower-risk option: Gloucester City or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malvern Town 1–2 Gloucester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malvern Town15%fair 6.87 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Gloucester City61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
3.43Expected goals
1.12Malvern Town xG
2.31Gloucester City xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–17%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Malvern Town 1.1 – 2.3 Gloucester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gloucester City to win✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Gloucester City or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Gloucester City (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Gloucester City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Gloucester City to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Gloucester City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gloucester City / FT Gloucester City✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Malvern Town – last 6
LDLLLD
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wimborne Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bracknell Town
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gloucester City – last 6
WDDLDW
19 Sep
@ AFC Totton
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Mangotsfield United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Evesham United
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Havant & Wville
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Hanwell Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malvern Town and Gloucester City.
What is the prediction for Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
On our numbers Malvern Town have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gloucester City 61%.
How many goals will there be in Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Our predicted score is Malvern Town 1–2 Gloucester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
