Malvern Town vs Yate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Malvern Town v Yate Town in the Non League Premier Southern South. In the table, Malvern Town are 21st, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Yate Town are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Malvern Town, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Basingstoke Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Yate Town, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Berkhamsted, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malvern Town 2.1 xG, Yate Town 1.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malvern Town 45%, draw 22%, Yate Town 33%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malvern Town 2–1 Yate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malvern Town45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Yate Town33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
3.85Expected goals
2.07Malvern Town xG
1.78Yate Town xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Malvern Town 2.1 – 1.8 Yate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malvern Town to win✓
45%
2.23
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Draw no bet
Malvern Town (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Yate Town +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
Malvern Town to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Malvern Town ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malvern Town / FT Malvern Town✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Malvern Town – last 6
LLDWLD
10 Oct
@ Basingstoke Town
1–4
L
29 Sep
@ Bath City
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Mickleover Sports
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Gloucester City
5–2
W
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yate Town – last 6
LDLDDD
10 Oct
vs Berkhamsted
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Frome Town
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Wimborne Town
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Sholing
0–0
D
22 Sep
@ Chippenham Town
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malvern Town and Yate Town.
What is the prediction for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
On our numbers Malvern Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yate Town 33%.
How many goals will there be in Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Our predicted score is Malvern Town 2–1 Yate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Malvern Town vs Yate Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
