Berkhamsted v Basingstoke Town Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBerkhamsted to win58% · @1.80

Double chanceBerkhamsted or draw81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · fair 1.94

GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.06

Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Basingstoke Town travel to face Berkhamsted on Saturday 17 October in the Non League Premier Southern South – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Berkhamsted are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Basingstoke Town are 16th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Berkhamsted, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Yate Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Basingstoke Town, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Havant & Wville, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Berkhamsted, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Basingstoke Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Berkhamsted 2.0 xG, Basingstoke Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Berkhamsted 58%, draw 23%, Basingstoke Town 20%.
Lower-risk option: Berkhamsted or draw (81%) at 1.22.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Berkhamsted or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berkhamsted 1–1 Basingstoke Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Berkhamsted58%fair 1.73 · @1.80

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60

Basingstoke Town20%fair 5.13 · @3.60

3.01Expected goals

1.96Berkhamsted xG

1.06Basingstoke Town xG

52%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–010%

2–09%

3–16%

3–06%

From our goals model: Berkhamsted 2.0 – 1.1 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Berkhamsted to win	58%	1.73	1.80
Double chance	Berkhamsted or draw	81%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	52%	1.94	–
Draw no bet	Berkhamsted (draw no bet)	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Basingstoke Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.75	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	81%	1.23	–
First team to score	Berkhamsted to score first	62%	1.62	–
Half-time result	Berkhamsted ahead at half-time	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Berkhamsted / FT Berkhamsted	37%	2.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	10%	10.06	–

Berkhamsted – last 6

WWLWLW

10 Oct	@ Yate Town	3–0	W
3 Oct	@ Redditch United	2–0	W
29 Sep	@ Sholing	0–2	L
26 Sep	vs Chatham Town	3–1	W
22 Sep	vs Hanworth Villa	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Hendon	4–1	W

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Basingstoke Town – last 6

LWLLDD

13 Oct	@ Havant & Wville	1–4	L
10 Oct	vs Malvern Town	4–1	W
29 Sep	@ Uxbridge	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Poole Town	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Gosport Borough	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Gloucester City	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	+19	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	+13	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	+13	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	+6	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	+2	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	+13	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	+9	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	+3	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	-8	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Basingstoke Town	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	-16	16
19	Gloucester City	14	3	6	5	-3	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	-18	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	-17	14
22	Havant & Wville	16	3	3	10	-13	12

Team

Pts

+19

+11

+13

+13

+10

+13

-2

-8

-2

-4

-7

-12

-16

-3

-18

-17

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

Our pick is Berkhamsted or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

On our numbers Berkhamsted have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Basingstoke Town 20%.

How many goals will there be in Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

Our predicted score is Berkhamsted 1–1 Basingstoke Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Berkhamsted v Basingstoke Town: numbers & prediction