Basingstoke Town v Plymouth Parkway Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✗45% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Basingstoke Town v Plymouth Parkway in the Non League Premier Southern South. In the table, Basingstoke Town are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Plymouth Parkway are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Basingstoke Town, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Gosport Borough, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Plymouth Parkway, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chertsey Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Basingstoke Town.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Plymouth Parkway 3–0 Basingstoke Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Basingstoke Town 1.6 xG, Plymouth Parkway 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Basingstoke Town 34%, draw 21%, Plymouth Parkway 45%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basingstoke Town 1–1 Plymouth Parkway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Basingstoke Town34%fair 2.95 · @2.70

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40

Plymouth Parkway45%fair 2.21 · @2.10

3.57Expected goals

1.65Basingstoke Town xG

1.92Plymouth Parkway xG

69%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

1–29%

2–17%

2–27%

1–36%

0–15%

From our goals model: Basingstoke Town 1.6 – 1.9 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plymouth Parkway to win ✗	45%	2.21	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	69%	1.45	1.44
Draw no bet	Plymouth Parkway (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Basingstoke Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
First team to score	Plymouth Parkway to score first ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Plymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✗	36%	2.80	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✗	27%	3.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.65	–

Basingstoke Town – last 6

LLWLLD

17 Oct	@ Gosport Borough	0–4	L
13 Oct	@ Havant & Wville	1–4	L
10 Oct	vs Malvern Town	4–1	W
29 Sep	@ Uxbridge	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Poole Town	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Gosport Borough	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Plymouth Parkway – last 6

WWLWDL

17 Oct	vs Chertsey Town	2–0	W
13 Oct	vs Wimborne Town	2–1	W
10 Oct	@ Chichester City	1–3	L
3 Oct	vs Horsham	2–1	W
29 Sep	@ Gloucester City	1–1	D
26 Sep	vs Bath City	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Non League Premier Southern South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	+19	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	+13	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	+13	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	+6	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	+2	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	+13	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	+9	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	+3	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	-8	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Basingstoke Town	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	-16	16
19	Gloucester City	14	3	6	5	-3	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	-18	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	-17	14
22	Havant & Wville	16	3	3	10	-13	12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

On our numbers Basingstoke Town have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plymouth Parkway 45%.

How many goals will there be in Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Our predicted score is Basingstoke Town 1–1 Plymouth Parkway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Basingstoke Town v Plymouth Parkway: numbers & prediction