Uxbridge v Malvern Town Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUxbridge to win ✓64% · @1.50

Double chanceUxbridge or draw ✓85% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Uxbridge vs Malvern Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Malvern Town travel to face Uxbridge on Tuesday 20 October in the Non League Premier Southern South – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Uxbridge are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 16 matches; Malvern Town are 21st (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Uxbridge, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Malvern Town, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Frome Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Uxbridge, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Malvern Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uxbridge 2.4 xG, Malvern Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Uxbridge 64%, draw 21%, Malvern Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Uxbridge or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Uxbridge to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uxbridge 2–1 Malvern Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uxbridge64%fair 1.57 · @1.50

Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.80

Malvern Town15%fair 6.50 · @4.80

3.55Expected goals

2.40Uxbridge xG

1.15Malvern Town xG

64%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–08%

1–18%

3–18%

1–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Uxbridge 2.4 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Uxbridge to win ✓	64%	1.57	1.50
Double chance	Uxbridge or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.57	1.50
Draw no bet	Uxbridge (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Uxbridge -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
First team to score	Uxbridge to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Uxbridge ahead at half-time ✓	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Uxbridge / FT Uxbridge ✓	43%	2.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.51	–

Uxbridge – last 6

LWWWWW

17 Oct	vs AFC Hornchurch	0–4	L
10 Oct	vs Evesham United	1–0	W
3 Oct	vs Hungerford Town	3–1	W
29 Sep	vs Basingstoke Town	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Lewes	2–1	W
22 Sep	@ Farnborough	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Malvern Town – last 6

WWLLDW

17 Oct	vs Frome Town	2–0	W
13 Oct	vs Yate Town	3–2	W
10 Oct	@ Basingstoke Town	1–4	L
29 Sep	@ Bath City	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Mickleover Sports	1–1	D
22 Sep	vs Gloucester City	5–2	W

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	+19	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	+13	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	+13	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	+6	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	+2	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	+13	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	+9	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	+3	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	-8	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Basingstoke Town	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	-16	16
19	Gloucester City	14	3	6	5	-3	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	-18	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	-17	14
22	Havant & Wville	16	3	3	10	-13	12

Team

Pts

+19

+11

+13

+13

+10

+13

-2

-8

-2

-4

-7

-12

-16

-3

-18

-17

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

Our pick is Uxbridge to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

On our numbers Uxbridge have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malvern Town 15%.

How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

Our predicted score is Uxbridge 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

Uxbridge vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Uxbridge v Malvern Town: numbers & prediction