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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poole Town v Chertsey Town: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
Poole Town 49%Draw 20%Chertsey Town 31% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.34
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoole Town to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Poole Town vs Chertsey Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poole Town welcome Chertsey Town for a Non League Premier Southern South fixture on Tuesday 27 October (20:45 WAT). In the table, Poole Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Chertsey Town are 5th (upper half) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Poole Town, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Didcot Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Chertsey Town, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Takeley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Poole Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Chertsey Town.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Chertsey Town 1–3 Poole Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poole Town 1.8 xG, Chertsey Town 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Poole Town 49%, draw 20%, Chertsey Town 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poole Town 2–1 Chertsey Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poole Town49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
Chertsey Town31%fair 3.22 · @2.88
3.11Expected goals
1.77Poole Town xG
1.34Chertsey Town xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Poole Town 1.8 – 1.3 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPoole Town to win ✗49%2.032.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betPoole Town (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapChertsey Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scorePoole Town to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Poole Town / FT Poole Town ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.69–

Recent results

Poole Town – last 6

LWWWWW
24 Oct@ Didcot Town1–2L
20 Octvs Hanwell Town3–0W
17 Oct@ Chippenham Town4–1W
10 Octvs Bracknell Town1–0W
7 Oct@ Gosport Borough3–1W
3 Octvs Evesham United3–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chertsey Town – last 6

WWLDDW
24 Oct@ Takeley4–0W
20 Octvs Evesham United2–0W
17 Oct@ Plymouth Parkway0–2L
13 Oct@ Hanwell Town1–1D
10 Octvs Chippenham Town2–2D
3 Oct@ Sheppey United2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Chertsey Town v Poole Town1–3
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

On our numbers Poole Town have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chertsey Town 31%.

How many goals will there be in Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

Our predicted score is Poole Town 2–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

Poole Town vs Chertsey Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.