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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chertsey Town v Basingstoke Town: numbers & prediction

4–3
FT
Chertsey Town 63%Draw 21%Basingstoke Town 16% Expected goals 2.25 – 1.08
63%
Betarazi pick

Chertsey Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultChertsey Town to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Non League Premier Southern South brings Chertsey Town against Basingstoke Town. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Chertsey Town are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Basingstoke Town are 16th (lower half) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chertsey Town, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Poole Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Basingstoke Town, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Uxbridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chertsey Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Basingstoke Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chertsey Town 2.3 xG, Basingstoke Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chertsey Town 63%, draw 21%, Basingstoke Town 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chertsey Town or draw (84%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chertsey Town to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertsey Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chertsey Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
Basingstoke Town16%fair 6.19 · @4.00
3.33Expected goals
2.25Chertsey Town xG
1.08Basingstoke Town xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Chertsey Town 2.3 – 1.1 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChertsey Town to win ✓63%1.591.65
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betChertsey Town (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapChertsey Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
First team to scoreChertsey Town to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultChertsey Town ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Chertsey Town – last 6

DWWLDD
27 Oct@ Poole Town2–2D
24 Oct@ Takeley4–0W
20 Octvs Evesham United2–0W
17 Oct@ Plymouth Parkway0–2L
13 Oct@ Hanwell Town1–1D
10 Octvs Chippenham Town2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Basingstoke Town – last 6

LWLLWL
27 Octvs Uxbridge0–2L
24 Octvs Plymouth Parkway2–0W
17 Oct@ Gosport Borough0–4L
13 Oct@ Havant & Wville1–4L
10 Octvs Malvern Town4–1W
29 Sep@ Uxbridge1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Basingstoke Town.

Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Our pick is Chertsey Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?

On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Basingstoke Town 16%.

How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Chertsey Town vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.