Basingstoke Town 23%Draw 18%Hanworth Villa 59%Expected goals 1.27 – 2.14
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
2
Value bet: Hanworth Villa to win @ 1.88 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHanworth Villa to win ✗59% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Basingstoke Town welcome Hanworth Villa for a Non League Premier Southern South fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Basingstoke Town are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Hanworth Villa are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Basingstoke Town, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Chertsey Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Hanworth Villa, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Plymouth Parkway, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Hanworth Villa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Basingstoke Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basingstoke Town 1.3 xG, Hanworth Villa 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basingstoke Town 23%, draw 18%, Hanworth Villa 59%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Hanworth Villa to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basingstoke Town 1–2 Hanworth Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basingstoke Town23%fair 4.29 · @3.12
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.70
Hanworth Villa59%fair 1.70 · @1.88
3.41Expected goals
1.27Basingstoke Town xG
2.14Hanworth Villa xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Basingstoke Town 1.3 – 2.1 Hanworth Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hanworth Villa to win✗
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Draw no bet
Hanworth Villa (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Basingstoke Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
Hanworth Villa to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Hanworth Villa ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hanworth Villa / FT Hanworth Villa✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Basingstoke Town – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Oct
@ Chertsey Town
3–4
L
27 Oct
vs Uxbridge
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Plymouth Parkway
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Gosport Borough
0–4
L
13 Oct
@ Havant & Wville
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Malvern Town
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hanworth Villa – last 6
WWLDDW
31 Oct
vs Plymouth Parkway
4–2
W
27 Oct
@ Chichester City
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Enfield Town
1–5
L
20 Oct
vs Chippenham Town
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Havant & Wville
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Bracknell Town
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basingstoke Town and Hanworth Villa.
What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
On our numbers Basingstoke Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hanworth Villa 59%.
How many goals will there be in Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
Our predicted score is Basingstoke Town 1–2 Hanworth Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa?
Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
