Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Paredes vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 7 August the Liga 3 brings Paredes against Guimaraes B at Municipal das Laranjeiras. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Paredes are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Paredes, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Guimaraes B, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Chaves, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 1.9 xG, Guimaraes B 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 57%, draw 25%, Guimaraes B 18%.
Lower-risk option: Paredes or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–1 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paredes57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Guimaraes B18%fair 5.41 · @3.90
2.89Expected goals
1.88Paredes xG
1.00Guimaraes B xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.9 – 1.0 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Paredes or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes B +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Paredes ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Paredes – last 6
WWLLLD
1 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ AVS
4–2
W
18 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Fafe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ São João Ver
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Fafe
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 6
WLDWLL
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Academica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Amarante
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Trofense
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Guimaraes B.
What is the prediction for Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers Paredes have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guimaraes B 18%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–1 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Paredes vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
