Fafe 60%Draw 24%Guimaraes B 16%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.77
84%
Betarazi pick
Fafe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fafe to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFafe to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Fafe vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Liga 3 brings Fafe against Guimaraes B at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fafe, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over São João Ver, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guimaraes B, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leça, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.7 xG, Guimaraes B 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 60%, draw 24%, Guimaraes B 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fafe or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Fafe to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fafe or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.00
Guimaraes B16%fair 6.22 · @3.80
2.50Expected goals
1.73Fafe xG
0.77Guimaraes B xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.7 – 0.8 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Fafe (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Fafe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Fafe to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Fafe – last 6
WDWLWL
16 Aug
@ São João Ver
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Vianense
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Maria da Fonte
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Chaves
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Vizela
3–0
W
28 Apr
vs São João Ver
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 6
WLWLDW
15 Aug
vs Leça
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Academica
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Guimaraes B.
Our pick is Fafe or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fafe vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers Fafe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guimaraes B 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Guimaraes B?
Fafe vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
