Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Liga 3 brings União Santarém against Lusitano Évora 1911 at Campo Cha das Padeiras. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, União Santarém are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
União Santarém, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Merelinense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SC Covilha, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.0 xG, Lusitano Évora 1911 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 32%, draw 23%, Lusitano Évora 1911 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Santarém32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Lusitano Évora 191144%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.24Expected goals
1.00União Santarém xG
1.24Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.0 – 1.2 Lusitano Évora 1911 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Lusitano Évora 1911 (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
União Santarém +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.59
–
Recent results
União Santarém – last 6
WWLLDL
20 Sep
vs Merelinense
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Louletano
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Caldas
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–5
L
14 Aug
vs Oliveirense
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SC Covilha
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLLWDL
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Lusitano Évora 1911.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitano Évora 1911 44%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911 (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
