Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fafe to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFafe to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pacos Ferreira travel to face Fafe on Friday 30 October in the Liga 3, with Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Pacos Ferreira are 8th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fafe, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AD Marco 09, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leça, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Pacos Ferreira 0–0 Fafe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.7 xG, Pacos Ferreira 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 61%, draw 25%, Pacos Ferreira 14%.
Lower-risk option: Fafe or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fafe to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fafe or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 Pacos Ferreira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
Pacos Ferreira14%fair 7.21 · @3.80
2.36Expected goals
1.69Fafe xG
0.67Pacos Ferreira xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.7 – 0.7 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Fafe or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Fafe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pacos Ferreira 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
