Al Ahli Doha 68%Draw 20%Lusail City 13%Expected goals 2.14 – 0.80
68%
Betarazi pick
Al Ahli Doha to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.52 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.52Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ahli Doha to win ✗68% · @1.52
Double chanceAl Ahli Doha or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Stars League brings Al Ahli Doha against Lusail City at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. Kick-off: 15:15 WAT. In the table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Lusail City are 5th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Ahli Doha, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Al Sadd, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Lusail City, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Rayyan SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Ahli Doha, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Lusail City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Doha 2.1 xG, Lusail City 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Doha 68%, draw 20%, Lusail City 13%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Ahli Doha to win (68%, odds 1.52 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Doha 2–0 Lusail City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli Doha68%fair 1.47 · @1.52
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.30
Lusail City13%fair 7.99 · @5.10
2.94Expected goals
2.14Al Ahli Doha xG
0.80Lusail City xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 2.1 – 0.8 Lusail City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
68%
1.47
1.52
Double chance
Al Ahli Doha or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.48
Draw no bet
Al Ahli Doha (draw no bet)
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Al Ahli Doha -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.28
First team to score
Al Ahli Doha to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Al Ahli Doha ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli Doha / FT Al Ahli Doha✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
LDLWLW
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
30 Jul
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ UMM Salal
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
1–5
L
8 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lusail City – last 5
LLLLD
20 Aug
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Dordrecht
0–5
L
30 Apr
vs Al Bidda SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Lusail City.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Our pick is Al Ahli Doha to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lusail City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 2–0 Lusail City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
