Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQatar SC to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.83
Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Al Ahli Doha v Qatar SC in the Stars League, played at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. In the table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Qatar SC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al Ahli Doha, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lusail City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Qatar SC, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Al Sadd, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Doha 2.1 xG, Qatar SC 2.2 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Doha 39%, draw 20%, Qatar SC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Qatar SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli Doha39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.65
Qatar SC41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
4.33Expected goals
2.15Al Ahli Doha xG
2.18Qatar SC xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 2.1 – 2.2 Qatar SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qatar SC to win✗
41%
2.46
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
Qatar SC (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Al Ahli Doha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.35 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.22
First team to score
Qatar SC to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Qatar SC ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qatar SC / FT Qatar SC✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.83
–
Recent results
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
DLDLWL
28 Aug
vs Lusail City
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
30 Jul
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ UMM Salal
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Qatar SC – last 6
LDLWDL
28 Aug
vs Al Sadd
2–6
L
20 Aug
@ Al Wakrah
2–2
D
27 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Al Shamal
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Al-Arabi SC
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Al Wakrah
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Qatar SC.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Qatar SC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Qatar SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC (Stars League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
