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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Ahli Doha v Al-Sailiya: numbers & prediction

Stars League · Qatar · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
5–0
FT
Al Ahli Doha 65%Draw 20%Al-Sailiya 14% Expected goals 2.70 – 1.30
65%
Betarazi pick

Al Ahli Doha to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahli Doha to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceAl Ahli Doha or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Ahli Doha welcome Al-Sailiya to Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium for a Stars League fixture on Saturday 10 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Al-Sailiya are 12th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

Al Ahli Doha, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Markhiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Al-Sailiya, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Rayyan SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al Ahli Doha, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Al-Sailiya.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Al-Sailiya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Doha 2.7 xG, Al-Sailiya 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Doha 65%, draw 20%, Al-Sailiya 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Al Ahli Doha or draw (86%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al Ahli Doha to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Doha 2–1 Al-Sailiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Ahli Doha65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.90
Al-Sailiya14%fair 6.96 · @4.33
4.00Expected goals
2.70Al Ahli Doha xG
1.30Al-Sailiya xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 2.7 – 1.3 Al-Sailiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahli Doha to win ✓65%1.531.62 ▲
Double chanceAl Ahli Doha or draw ✓86%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.44
Draw no betAl Ahli Doha (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapAl Ahli Doha -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreAl Ahli Doha to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultAl Ahli Doha ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahli Doha / FT Al Ahli Doha ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Al Ahli Doha – last 6

DLLWDL
29 Sep@ Al-Markhiya1–1D
20 Sepvs Al Shahaniya0–1L
11 Sep@ Al-Rayyan SC0–3L
3 Sepvs Qatar SC1–0W
28 Augvs Lusail City3–3D
22 Aug@ Al Sadd1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Al-Sailiya – last 6

DLLLLL
28 Sepvs Al-Rayyan SC1–1D
20 Sep@ Al Wakrah0–1L
10 Sepvs Al Sadd3–6L
3 Sepvs Al-Arabi SC0–2L
29 Aug@ Al Shahaniya2–3L
22 Aug@ Al-Duhail SC0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Al Ahli Doha v Al-Sailiya2–2
Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya head-to-head page →

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Rayyan SC9630+1421
2Al-Duhail SC9630+1221
3Al Sadd9603+1618
4Al-Arabi SC9351+814
5Lusail City9333+212
6Al Shamal9333+112
7Al Ahli Doha9333-112
8Al Wakrah9324-511
9Al Shahaniya9315-910
10Al-Gharafa9234-49
11Qatar SC9135-106
12Al-Sailiya9018-241

More Stars League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?

Our pick is Al Ahli Doha to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?

On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Sailiya 14%.

How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?

Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 2–1 Al-Sailiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya (Stars League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.