Lusail City 24%Draw 17%Al Shamal 59%Expected goals 1.18 – 2.02
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Al Shamal to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Shamal to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Lusail City vs Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Lusail City v Al Shamal in the Stars League, played at Lusail Stadium. In the table, Lusail City are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Al Shamal are 6th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lusail City, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Shahaniya, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Shamal, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tractor Sazi, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusail City 1.2 xG, Al Shamal 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusail City 24%, draw 17%, Al Shamal 59%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Al Shamal to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusail City 1–2 Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusail City24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.50
Al Shamal59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
3.20Expected goals
1.18Lusail City xG
2.02Al Shamal xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lusail City 1.2 – 2.0 Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shamal to win✗
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.44
Draw no bet
Al Shamal (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lusail City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Al Shamal to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Al Shamal ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shamal / FT Al Shamal✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Lusail City – last 6
LDWDWD
10 Oct
@ Al Shahaniya
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Al Waab
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Al-Markhiya
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Al-Gharafa
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Al Wakrah
4–0
W
28 Aug
@ Al Ahli Doha
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Shamal – last 6
DLWWDD
12 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–4
L
1 Oct
vs Muaither SC
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Al Bidda SC
4–0
W
14 Sep
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Al Wakrah
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusail City and Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
On our numbers Lusail City have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al Shamal 59%.
How many goals will there be in Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Lusail City 1–2 Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Lusail City vs Al Shamal (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lusail Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
