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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Gharafa v Qatar SC: numbers & prediction

Stars League · Qatar · Qatar Sports Club Stadium
2–0
FT
Al-Gharafa 57%Draw 19%Qatar SC 24% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.25
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Al-Gharafa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAl-Gharafa to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Al-Gharafa v Qatar SC in the Stars League, played at Qatar Sports Club Stadium. In the table, Al-Gharafa are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 9 matches; Qatar SC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al-Gharafa, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Ahli Jeddah, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Qatar SC, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Al Riffa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Qatar SC 2–0 Al-Gharafa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Gharafa 2.0 xG, Qatar SC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Gharafa 57%, draw 19%, Qatar SC 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: Al-Gharafa to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Gharafa 2–1 Qatar SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Gharafa57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.90
Qatar SC24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
2.04Al-Gharafa xG
1.25Qatar SC xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Al-Gharafa 2.0 – 1.3 Qatar SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Gharafa to win ✓57%1.761.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.36
Draw no betAl-Gharafa (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapQatar SC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreAl-Gharafa to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultAl-Gharafa ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Gharafa / FT Al-Gharafa ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Al-Gharafa – last 6

LDDLLW
26 Oct@ Al-Ahli Jeddah1–2L
22 Octvs Al Ahli Doha2–2D
16 Oct@ Al-Rayyan SC0–0D
12 Octvs Esteghlal FC1–2L
8 Oct@ Al Wakrah2–3L
1 Octvs Al Mesaimeer4–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Qatar SC – last 6

LWDDLW
27 Oct@ Al Riffa1–4L
23 Oct@ Al Shamal3–2W
16 Oct@ Al-Sailiya2–2D
13 Octvs Al Zawra'a1–1D
9 Octvs Al-Rayyan SC0–3L
1 Octvs Al Bidda SC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Mar 2026Qatar SC v Al-Gharafa2–0
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC head-to-head page →

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Rayyan SC9630+1421
2Al-Duhail SC9630+1221
3Al Sadd9603+1618
4Al-Arabi SC9351+814
5Lusail City9333+212
6Al Shamal9333+112
7Al Ahli Doha9333-112
8Al Wakrah9324-511
9Al Shahaniya9315-910
10Al-Gharafa9234-49
11Qatar SC9135-106
12Al-Sailiya9018-241

More Stars League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

On our numbers Al-Gharafa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Qatar SC 24%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

Our predicted score is Al-Gharafa 2–1 Qatar SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Qatar Sports Club Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.