Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Barra vs Nação: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Barra v Nação in the Copa Santa Catarina.
Current form
Barra, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Blumenau, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Nação, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Joinville, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barra 2.2 xG, Nação 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barra 70%, draw 20%, Nação 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barra to win (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra 2–0 Nação. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barra70%fair 1.43 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
Nação10%fair 9.85 · @7.00
2.86Expected goals
2.15Barra xG
0.71Nação xG
43%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barra 2.2 – 0.7 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Barra (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Barra -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Barra to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Barra ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Barra – last 6
DDWLWL
15 Sep
vs Blumenau
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Maringá
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nação – last 6
LLDLWD
19 Sep
vs Joinville
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Figueirense
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Santa Catarina
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Blumenau
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Caravaggio
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Nação.
Our pick is Barra to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Barra vs Nação?
On our numbers Barra have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nação 10%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Nação?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Barra 2–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Nação?
Barra vs Nação (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
