Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Marcílio Dias vs Joinville: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Copa Santa Catarina brings Marcílio Dias against Joinville. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Marcílio Dias, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portuguesa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Joinville, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to São Luiz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Marcílio Dias 2–0 Joinville.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marcílio Dias 1.8 xG, Joinville 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marcílio Dias 57%, draw 23%, Joinville 19%.
Lower-risk option: Marcílio Dias or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marcílio Dias to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marcílio Dias 1–0 Joinville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marcílio Dias57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Joinville19%fair 5.20 · @4.10
2.67Expected goals
1.76Marcílio Dias xG
0.91Joinville xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.8 – 0.9 Joinville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Our pick is Marcílio Dias to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Joinville 19%.
How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 1–0 Joinville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Marcílio Dias vs Joinville (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
