Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSanta Catarina to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceSanta Catarina or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.41
Nação vs Santa Catarina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Nação v Santa Catarina in the Copa Santa Catarina.
Current form
Nação, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hercílio Luz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Santa Catarina, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blumenau, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Catarina, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Nação.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nação 0.4 xG, Santa Catarina 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nação 16%, draw 22%, Santa Catarina 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nação 0–1 Santa Catarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nação16%fair 6.34 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Santa Catarina62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
1.76Expected goals
0.44Nação xG
1.32Santa Catarina xG
37%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–123%
0–017%
0–215%
1–110%
1–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nação 0.4 – 1.3 Santa Catarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Catarina to win✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Santa Catarina or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
–
Draw no bet
Santa Catarina (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Nação +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Santa Catarina to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Catarina / FT Santa Catarina✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.41
–
Recent results
Nação – last 6
LWDWLL
25 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Blumenau
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Caravaggio
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Jaraguá
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Fluminense-SC
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Tubarao
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santa Catarina – last 6
WDDWWL
29 Aug
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Sao Jose
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Cascavel
1–0
W
31 May
@ Cianorte
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Cascavel
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nação and Santa Catarina.
What is the prediction for Nação vs Santa Catarina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nação vs Santa Catarina?
On our numbers Nação have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santa Catarina 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nação vs Santa Catarina?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nação vs Santa Catarina?
Our predicted score is Nação 0–1 Santa Catarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nação vs Santa Catarina?
Nação vs Santa Catarina (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
