Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57% · @2.05
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.77
Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Catarina welcome Marcílio Dias to Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck for a Copa Santa Catarina fixture on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Santa Catarina, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nação, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Marcílio Dias, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Metropolitano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Catarina 1.8 xG, Marcílio Dias 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Catarina 43%, draw 22%, Marcílio Dias 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Catarina 2–1 Marcílio Dias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Catarina43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Marcílio Dias35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
3.51Expected goals
1.85Santa Catarina xG
1.66Marcílio Dias xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Santa Catarina 1.8 – 1.7 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Catarina to win✓
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Santa Catarina (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Marcílio Dias +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Santa Catarina to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Catarina / FT Santa Catarina✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Santa Catarina – last 6
DWDDWW
6 Sep
@ Nação
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Sao Jose
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Cascavel
1–0
W
31 May
@ Cianorte
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Marcílio Dias – last 6
WWLDWD
7 Sep
@ Metropolitano
5–2
W
30 Aug
vs Joinville
4–2
W
11 Jul
@ Portuguesa
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Cascavel
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Cascavel
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Catarina and Marcílio Dias.
What is the prediction for Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Santa Catarina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marcílio Dias 35%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Santa Catarina 2–1 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
