Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Barra vs Santa Catarina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Catarina travel to face Barra on Friday 23 October in the Copa Santa Catarina – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Barra, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hercílio Luz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Santa Catarina, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Metropolitano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Catarina, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Barra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barra 1.6 xG, Santa Catarina 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barra 44%, draw 22%, Santa Catarina 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra 2–1 Santa Catarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barra44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Santa Catarina34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
2.98Expected goals
1.59Barra xG
1.38Santa Catarina xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Barra 1.6 – 1.4 Santa Catarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Barra (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Santa Catarina +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Barra to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Barra – last 6
LDLDDD
17 Oct
@ Hercílio Luz
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Metropolitano
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Joinville
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Nação
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Blumenau
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Catarina – last 6
LLLWDW
17 Oct
@ Metropolitano
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Joinville
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Figueirense
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Marcílio Dias
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Nação
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Santa Catarina.
What is the prediction for Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barra vs Santa Catarina?
On our numbers Barra have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santa Catarina 34%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Santa Catarina?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Our predicted score is Barra 2–1 Santa Catarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Barra vs Santa Catarina (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
