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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aldosivi v Independ. Rivadavia: numbers & prediction

Copa Argentina · Argentina
0–2
FT
Aldosivi 19%Draw 25%Independ. Rivadavia 56% Expected goals 0.78 – 1.54
81%
Betarazi pick

Independ. Rivadavia or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 26 August the Copa Argentina brings Aldosivi against Independ. Rivadavia. Kick-off: 23:15 WAT.

Current form

Aldosivi, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Union Santa Fe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Aldosivi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aldosivi 0.8 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aldosivi 19%, draw 25%, Independ. Rivadavia 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Independ. Rivadavia or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Independ. Rivadavia or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aldosivi19%fair 5.14 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.15
Independ. Rivadavia56%fair 1.80 · @1.90
2.32Expected goals
0.78Aldosivi xG
1.54Independ. Rivadavia xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–112%
0–212%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%

From our goals model: Aldosivi 0.8 – 1.5 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✓56%1.801.90 ▲
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.20 ▲
Draw no betIndepend. Rivadavia (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapAldosivi +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.04
First team to scoreIndepend. Rivadavia to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Aldosivi – last 6

LDLLLD
21 Augvs Union Santa Fe1–3L
15 Augvs Tigre0–0D
7 Aug@ Rosario Central1–2L
2 Augvs Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
29 Jul@ Barracas Central0–1L
24 Jul@ Defensa Y Justicia1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

DDLDWL
22 Aug@ Independiente0–0D
18 Augvs Fluminense1–1D
15 Aug@ Belgrano Cordoba0–2L
11 Aug@ Fluminense0–0D
8 Augvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
3 Aug@ Sarmiento Junin1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia.

Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our pick is Independ. Rivadavia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?

On our numbers Aldosivi have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independ. Rivadavia 56%.

How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our predicted score is Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.