BG Pathum United 64%Draw 22%Rasi Salai United 14%Expected goals 1.20 – 0.30
64%
Betarazi pick
BG Pathum United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.75
BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Thai League 1 brings BG Pathum United against Rasi Salai United at True BG Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, BG Pathum United are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Rasi Salai United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
BG Pathum United, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pattani, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rasi Salai United, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Port FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rasi Salai United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for BG Pathum United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 1.2 xG, Rasi Salai United 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 64%, draw 22%, Rasi Salai United 14%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BG Pathum United to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 1–0 Rasi Salai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BG Pathum United64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
Rasi Salai United14%fair 7.17 · @7.00
1.50Expected goals
1.20BG Pathum United xG
0.30Rasi Salai United xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.2 – 0.3 Rasi Salai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Rasi Salai United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.75
–
Recent results
BG Pathum United – last 6
DLWLWD
4 Sep
@ Pattani
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
12 Jul
@ Roi Et
5–0
W
24 May
vs Port FC
0–1
L
10 May
vs Prachuap
3–0
W
1 May
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rasi Salai United – last 6
LWDWWW
5 Sep
vs Port FC
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Chiangmai United
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Phrae United
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Kasetsart FC
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Khon Kaen United
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Nakhon Pathom
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Rasi Salai United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rasi Salai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–0 Rasi Salai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
