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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Buriram United v Rayong FC: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Chang Arena
3–2
FT
Buriram United 70%Draw 18%Rayong FC 11% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.58
70%
Betarazi pick

Buriram United to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBuriram United to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Buriram United vs Rayong FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rayong FC travel to face Buriram United on Saturday 10 October in the Thai League 1, with Chang Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Buriram United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 7 matches; Rayong FC are 12th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Buriram United, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pusamania Borneo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rayong FC, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ratchaburi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Rayong FC 3–0 Buriram United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 1.9 xG, Rayong FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 70%, draw 18%, Rayong FC 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Buriram United to win (70%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 1–0 Rayong FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buriram United70%fair 1.42 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
Rayong FC11%fair 8.94 · @10.00
2.50Expected goals
1.92Buriram United xG
0.58Rayong FC xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Buriram United 1.9 – 0.6 Rayong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuriram United to win ✓70%1.421.20
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓89%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.91
Draw no betBuriram United (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapBuriram United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreBuriram United to score first71%1.42–
Half-time resultBuriram United ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buriram United / FT Buriram United ✗45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Buriram United – last 6

DWDDWD
7 Octvs Pusamania Borneo0–0D
20 Sep@ Chonburi FC1–0W
15 Sep@ Johor Darul Takzim FC1–1D
11 Sepvs Chiangrai United1–1D
6 Sep@ Sukhothai FC3–1W
31 Mayvs Prachuap0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Rayong FC – last 6

DWWDLW
20 Sepvs Ratchaburi1–1D
13 Sep@ Chonburi FC3–2W
5 Sepvs Prachuap1–0W
10 Mayvs Bangkok United1–1D
3 May@ Ratchaburi1–6L
29 Aprvs Buriram United3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Rayong FC v Buriram United3–0
Buriram United vs Rayong FC head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Our pick is Buriram United to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

On our numbers Buriram United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rayong FC 11%.

How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–0 Rayong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Buriram United vs Rayong FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.