Sisaket United 15%Draw 26%BG Pathum United 59%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.82
85%
Betarazi pick
BG Pathum United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: BG Pathum United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BG Pathum United travel to face Sisaket United on Sunday 18 October in the Thai League 1, with Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Sisaket United are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 8 matches; BG Pathum United are 7th (upper half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sisaket United, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chonburi FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
BG Pathum United, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Adelaide United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sisaket United 0.8 xG, BG Pathum United 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sisaket United 15%, draw 26%, BG Pathum United 59%.
Lower-risk option: BG Pathum United or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: BG Pathum United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BG Pathum United or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sisaket United 0–1 BG Pathum United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sisaket United15%fair 6.86 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
BG Pathum United59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
2.63Expected goals
0.81Sisaket United xG
1.82BG Pathum United xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sisaket United 0.8 – 1.8 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✗
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
BG Pathum United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Sisaket United – last 6
WWLLDD
11 Oct
vs Chonburi FC
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Chiangrai United
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Bangkok United
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Esan Pattaya
3–3
D
3 Apr
@ Pattani
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 6
LDLDWD
15 Oct
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Bangkok United
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ Home United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rasi Salai United
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Pattani
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sisaket United and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Sisaket United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BG Pathum United 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Sisaket United 0–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
