BG Pathum United 63%Draw 23%Chiangrai United 14%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.67
63%
Betarazi pick
BG Pathum United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chiangrai United travel to face BG Pathum United on Saturday 24 October in the Thai League 1, with True BG Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, BG Pathum United are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Chiangrai United are 15th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
BG Pathum United, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Khon Kaen United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chiangrai United, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burapha United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 1.7 xG, Chiangrai United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 63%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 14%.
Lower-risk option: BG Pathum United or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BG Pathum United to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 1–0 Chiangrai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BG Pathum United63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Chiangrai United14%fair 7.25 · @4.80
2.40Expected goals
1.73BG Pathum United xG
0.67Chiangrai United xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.7 – 0.7 Chiangrai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
BG Pathum United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Recent results
BG Pathum United – last 6
LDLDLD
21 Oct
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Sisaket United
1–1
D
15 Oct
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Bangkok United
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ Home United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chiangrai United – last 6
DLLLDW
21 Oct
@ Burapha United
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Ratchaburi
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Prachuap
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Sisaket United
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Buriram United
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Chonburi FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Chiangrai United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangrai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–0 Chiangrai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
