Santa Clara U23 61%Draw 21%Felgueiras U23 19%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.54
81%
Betarazi pick
Santa Clara U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Clara U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara U23 to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceSanta Clara U23 or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.53
Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Felgueiras U23 travel to face Santa Clara U23 on Tuesday 29 September in the Liga Revelação U23, with Estádio de São Miguel the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Santa Clara U23 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 10 matches; Felgueiras U23 are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Santa Clara U23, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portimonense U23, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Felgueiras U23, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Marítimo U23, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara U23 1.3 xG, Felgueiras U23 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara U23 61%, draw 21%, Felgueiras U23 19%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Clara U23 or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Santa Clara U23 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Clara U23 or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara U23 1–0 Felgueiras U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Clara U2361%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Felgueiras U2319%fair 5.35 · @3.60
1.88Expected goals
1.34Santa Clara U23 xG
0.54Felgueiras U23 xG
50%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Santa Clara U23 1.3 – 0.5 Felgueiras U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara U23 to win✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Santa Clara U23 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.65
Draw no bet
Santa Clara U23 (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Felgueiras U23 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Santa Clara U23 to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara U23 / FT Santa Clara U23✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.53
–
Recent results
Santa Clara U23 – last 6
DWWLLW
22 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Penafiel U23
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Farense U23
1–0
W
3 Jun
vs Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
26 May
@ Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
11 May
@ Academico Viseu U23
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Felgueiras U23 – last 5
WWDLL
20 Sep
@ Marítimo U23
2–0
W
8 Sep
@ Portimonense U23
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Estoril U23
2–2
D
25 Aug
@ Famalicão U23
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs Sporting Braga U23
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara U23 and Felgueiras U23.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23?
Our pick is Santa Clara U23 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23?
On our numbers Santa Clara U23 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Felgueiras U23 19%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara U23 1–0 Felgueiras U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23?
Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
