Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Penafiel U23 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPenafiel U23 to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Clara U23 travel to face Penafiel U23 on Tuesday 15 September in the Liga Revelação U23 – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Penafiel U23 are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Santa Clara U23 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Penafiel U23, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Sporting Braga U23, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Santa Clara U23, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Farense U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Clara U23, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Penafiel U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penafiel U23 1.9 xG, Santa Clara U23 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penafiel U23 45%, draw 23%, Santa Clara U23 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Penafiel U23 to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penafiel U23 1–1 Santa Clara U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penafiel U2345%fair 2.23 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Santa Clara U2332%fair 3.12 · @2.45
3.40Expected goals
1.86Penafiel U23 xG
1.54Santa Clara U23 xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Penafiel U23 1.9 – 1.5 Santa Clara U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penafiel U23 to win✗
45%
2.23
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Penafiel U23 (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Santa Clara U23 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Penafiel U23 to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penafiel U23 / FT Penafiel U23✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Penafiel U23 – last 4
DDDD
7 Sep
@ Sporting Braga U23
3–3
D
1 Sep
vs Leixões U23
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Marítimo U23
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Portimonense U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Santa Clara U23 – last 6
WLLWWL
9 Sep
vs Farense U23
1–0
W
3 Jun
vs Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
26 May
@ Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
11 May
@ Academico Viseu U23
4–2
W
28 Apr
vs Sporting CP U23
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Leixões U23
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penafiel U23 and Santa Clara U23.
What is the prediction for Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
On our numbers Penafiel U23 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Clara U23 32%.
How many goals will there be in Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our predicted score is Penafiel U23 1–1 Santa Clara U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
