Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP U23 to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceSporting CP U23 or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Sporting CP U23 v Penafiel U23 in the Liga Revelação U23. In the table, Sporting CP U23 are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 11 matches; Penafiel U23 are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Sporting CP U23, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Academico Viseu U23, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Penafiel U23, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santa Clara U23, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting CP U23, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Penafiel U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP U23 2.2 xG, Penafiel U23 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP U23 64%, draw 21%, Penafiel U23 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting CP U23 or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP U23 to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP U23 2–1 Penafiel U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP U2364%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.70
Penafiel U2315%fair 6.67 · @4.00
3.21Expected goals
2.21Sporting CP U23 xG
1.00Penafiel U23 xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sporting CP U23 2.2 – 1.0 Penafiel U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP U23 to win✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Sporting CP U23 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Sporting CP U23 (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Sporting CP U23 to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP U23 ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP U23 / FT Sporting CP U23✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Sporting CP U23 – last 6
DWWWWD
15 Sep
vs Academico Viseu U23
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Leixões U23
4–3
W
1 Sep
@ Estrela U23
2–1
W
25 Aug
vs Benfica U23
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Vizela U23
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs União Leiria U23
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penafiel U23 – last 5
LDDDD
15 Sep
vs Santa Clara U23
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Sporting Braga U23
3–3
D
1 Sep
vs Leixões U23
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Marítimo U23
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Portimonense U23
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP U23 and Penafiel U23.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Our pick is Sporting CP U23 to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
On our numbers Sporting CP U23 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penafiel U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP U23 2–1 Penafiel U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
