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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Braga U23 v Benfica U23: numbers & prediction

4–3
FT
Sporting Braga U23 39%Draw 22%Benfica U23 39% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Benfica U23 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBenfica U23 to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 23 October the Liga Revelação U23 brings Sporting Braga U23 against Benfica U23. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Braga U23 are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Benfica U23 are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting Braga U23, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Clara U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Benfica U23, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Moreirense U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Benfica U23, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sporting Braga U23.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Sporting Braga U23 3–1 Benfica U23.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Braga U23 1.4 xG, Benfica U23 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Braga U23 39%, draw 22%, Benfica U23 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Benfica U23 to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Braga U23 1–1 Benfica U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Braga U2339%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Benfica U2339%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.83Expected goals
1.41Sporting Braga U23 xG
1.42Benfica U23 xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Sporting Braga U23 1.4 – 1.4 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenfica U23 to win ✗39%2.552.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.53
Draw no betBenfica U23 (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapSporting Braga U23 +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreBenfica U23 to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benfica U23 / FT Benfica U23 ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Sporting Braga U23 – last 6

DLDDDD
19 Oct@ Santa Clara U231–1D
12 Octvs Marítimo U231–3L
19 Sep@ Rio Ave U231–1D
14 Sep@ Moreirense U231–1D
7 Sepvs Penafiel U233–3D
31 Aug@ Torreense U231–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Benfica U23 – last 6

DLWWWL
19 Octvs Moreirense U231–1D
13 Oct@ Penafiel U231–3L
25 Sep@ Marítimo U233–1W
19 Sepvs Torreense U233–0W
14 Sep@ União Leiria U232–1W
9 Sepvs Vizela U230–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Sporting Braga U23 v Benfica U233–1
Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23 head-to-head page →

Liga Revelação U23 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP U2311641+822
2Academico Viseu U2311632+521
3Estoril U2311551+520
4Rio Ave U2311542+919
5Torreense U2311533018
6Famalicão U2311524+117
7Vizela U2310514+116
8Moreirense U2311362+915
9Felgueiras U2310433+415
10Sporting Braga U2311362+115
11Benfica U2311425014
12União Leiria U2311425-314
13Penafiel U2311263012
14Farense U2311335-412
15Gil Vicente U2311326-511
16Leixões U2310244-110
17Portimonense U2311245-810
18Santa Clara U2310244-1110
19Estrela U2311236-59
20Marítimo U2311236-69

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?

On our numbers Sporting Braga U23 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica U23 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?

Our predicted score is Sporting Braga U23 1–1 Benfica U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.