Value bet: Paraguari AC to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParaguari AC to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 3 August the Division Intermedia brings Paraguari AC against Deportivo Capiata. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Paraguari AC are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Deportivo Capiata are 10th (lower half) with 38.
Current form
Paraguari AC, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Santani, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo Capiata, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independiente F.b.c., away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Capiata 3–1 Paraguari AC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paraguari AC 1.4 xG, Deportivo Capiata 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paraguari AC 38%, draw 26%, Deportivo Capiata 36%.
Price worth noting: Paraguari AC to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paraguari AC 1–1 Deportivo Capiata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paraguari AC38%fair 2.62 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
Deportivo Capiata36%fair 2.78 · @2.25
2.55Expected goals
1.38Paraguari AC xG
1.17Deportivo Capiata xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Paraguari AC 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Capiata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?
On our numbers Paraguari AC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Capiata 36%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?
Our predicted score is Paraguari AC 1–1 Deportivo Capiata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?
Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
