Al Nasr 56%Draw 24%Ajman 20%Expected goals 2.39 – 1.44
80%
Betarazi pick
Al Nasr or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Al Nasr to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Al Nasr vs Ajman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ajman travel to face Al Nasr on Sunday 6 September in the Pro League, with Al Maktoum Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Al Nasr are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Ajman are 8th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Nasr, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Ain, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ajman, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Jazira, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 2.4 xG, Ajman 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 56%, draw 24%, Ajman 20%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nasr or draw (80%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Al Nasr to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Nasr or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 2–1 Ajman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Ajman20%fair 5.03 · @3.30
3.83Expected goals
2.39Al Nasr xG
1.44Ajman xG
65%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.4 – 1.4 Ajman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✗
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Draw no bet
Al Nasr (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Ajman +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Al Nasr to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Al Nasr ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Al Nasr – last 6
LWDWLW
29 Aug
@ Al Ain
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Al Wahda FC
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
2–2
D
11 May
vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
2–1
W
6 May
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Al-Jazira
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajman – last 6
LWWDWL
29 Aug
@ Al-Jazira
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Hatta SC
4–3
W
14 Aug
@ Al Wahda FC
3–1
W
5 May
vs Al-Jazira
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Al-Dhafra
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Ain
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Ajman.
Our pick is Al Nasr or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Ajman?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ajman 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Ajman?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Ajman?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–1 Ajman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Ajman?
Al Nasr vs Ajman (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Maktoum Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.