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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águila v Firpo: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Águila

LLWWD
1–1
FT

Firpo

WDDWL
Águila 38%Draw 25%Firpo 37% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.37
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguila to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.42

Águila vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Águila v Firpo in the Primera Division. In the table, Águila are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 19 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40.

Current form

Águila, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FAS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Firpo, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Águila, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Águila 1–2 Firpo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Águila 0 wins, Firpo 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águila 1.3 xG, Firpo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águila 38%, draw 25%, Firpo 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águila 1–1 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águila38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Firpo37%fair 2.73 · @2.85
2.68Expected goals
1.31Águila xG
1.37Firpo xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Águila 1.3 – 1.4 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ÁguilaFirpo
Attack vs Primera Division average+34%+20%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-33%
Our expected goals here1.311.54

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguila to win ✗38%2.612.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.83
Draw no betÁguila (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapÁguila +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreFirpo to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Firpo / FT Firpo ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.42–

Recent results

Águila – last 6

LLWWDW
24 Mayvs FAS0–3L
13 Mayvs Firpo1–2L
10 May@ Alianza2–0W
6 Mayvs Alianza2–1W
1 Mayvs Firpo1–1D
22 Aprvs Izalco4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Firpo – last 6

WDDWLW
13 May@ Águila2–1W
1 May@ Águila1–1D
26 Aprvs FAS1–1D
23 Aprvs Batanecos3–0W
16 Aprvs Isidro Metapán0–2L
8 Apr@ Batanecos2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Águila v Firpo1–2
1 May 2026Águila v Firpo1–1
Águila vs Firpo head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águila vs Firpo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Águila vs Firpo?

On our numbers Águila have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Firpo 37%.

How many goals will there be in Águila vs Firpo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águila vs Firpo?

Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Águila vs Firpo?

Águila vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.