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Shandong Luneng v SHANGHAI SIPG: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · China · Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
0–3
FT
Shandong Luneng 44%Draw 20%SHANGHAI SIPG 36% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.62
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shandong Luneng welcome SHANGHAI SIPG to Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Tuesday 1 September (12:35 WAT).

Current form

Shandong Luneng, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Shanghai Shenhua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

SHANGHAI SIPG, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sichuan Jiuniu, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended SHANGHAI SIPG 0–1 Shandong Luneng. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shandong Luneng 1 win, SHANGHAI SIPG 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 1.8 xG, SHANGHAI SIPG 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 44%, draw 20%, SHANGHAI SIPG 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shandong Luneng44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
SHANGHAI SIPG36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
3.44Expected goals
1.82Shandong Luneng xG
1.62SHANGHAI SIPG xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%

From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 1.8 – 1.6 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShandong Luneng to win ✗44%2.262.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.441.36
Draw no betShandong Luneng (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapSHANGHAI SIPG +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
First team to scoreShandong Luneng to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Shandong Luneng – last 6

WLWWWL
28 Aug@ Shanghai Shenhua3–2W
22 Aug@ Qingdao Youth Island0–2L
14 Augvs Qingdao Jonoon3–1W
9 Augvs Tianjin Teda2–1W
1 Aug@ SHANGHAI SIPG1–0W
26 Julvs Henan Jianye1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6

WWDWWL
28 Aug@ Sichuan Jiuniu1–0W
23 Augvs Qingdao Jonoon2–1W
19 Augvs Dalian Zhixing1–1D
14 Aug@ Wuhan Three Towns3–2W
9 Aug@ Chongqing Tongliang Long3–2W
1 Augvs Shandong Luneng0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026SHANGHAI SIPG v Shandong Luneng0–1
17 Apr 2026Shandong Luneng v SHANGHAI SIPG1–1
Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SHANGHAI SIPG 36%.

How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.