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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · China · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Yunnan Yukun 64%Draw 21%Chongqing Tongliang Long 15% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.13
64%
Betarazi pick

Yunnan Yukun to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultYunnan Yukun to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 2 September the FA Cup brings Yunnan Yukun against Chongqing Tongliang Long at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Yunnan Yukun, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Hangzhou Greentown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Henan Jianye, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Yunnan Yukun, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–0 Yunnan Yukun.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yunnan Yukun 2.4 xG, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yunnan Yukun 64%, draw 21%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yunnan Yukun or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yunnan Yukun to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yunnan Yukun64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
Chongqing Tongliang Long15%fair 6.77 · @3.95
3.54Expected goals
2.41Yunnan Yukun xG
1.13Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 2.4 – 1.1 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYunnan Yukun to win ✓64%1.571.73 ▲
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.50
Draw no betYunnan Yukun (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapYunnan Yukun -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.201.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.761.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreYunnan Yukun to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultYunnan Yukun ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yunnan Yukun / FT Yunnan Yukun ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Yunnan Yukun – last 6

LDWWLW
29 Aug@ Hangzhou Greentown0–6L
22 Aug@ Beijing Guoan3–3D
15 Augvs Dalian Zhixing3–1W
8 Augvs Chengdu Better City1–0W
1 Aug@ Tianjin Teda2–3L
26 Julvs Sichuan Jiuniu4–3W
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DLDLLL
29 Aug@ Henan Jianye1–1D
23 Augvs Dalian Zhixing0–1L
14 Aug@ Qingdao Youth Island0–0D
9 Augvs SHANGHAI SIPG2–3L
2 Aug@ Sichuan Jiuniu0–2L
25 Jul@ Wuhan Three Towns0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long v Yunnan Yukun0–0
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our pick is Yunnan Yukun to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 15%.

How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 2–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.