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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Durban City v Richards Bay: numbers & prediction

Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Chatsworth Stadium
1–1
FT
Durban City 43%Draw 25%Richards Bay 32% Expected goals 0.96 – 0.77
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2

Value bet: Richards Bay to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDurban City to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90

Durban City vs Richards Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Durban City v Richards Bay in the Premier Soccer League, played at Chatsworth Stadium. In the table, Durban City are 13th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Richards Bay are 16th (in the drop zone) with 3.

Current form

Durban City, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Golden Arrows, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Richards Bay, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chippa United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Durban City 1–0 Richards Bay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Durban City 1.0 xG, Richards Bay 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Durban City 43%, draw 25%, Richards Bay 32%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Richards Bay to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durban City 0–0 Richards Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Durban City43%fair 2.35 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.88
Richards Bay32%fair 3.10 · @3.70
1.73Expected goals
0.96Durban City xG
0.77Richards Bay xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Durban City 1.0 – 0.8 Richards Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDurban City to win ✗43%2.352.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.53
Draw no betDurban City (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapRichards Bay +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.841.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.061.03
First team to scoreDurban City to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.90–

Recent results

Durban City – last 6

DDLLDD
12 Augvs Golden Arrows0–0D
8 Aug@ Orlando Pirates1–1D
1 Aug@ Sekhukhune United0–1L
23 Mayvs Amazulu0–1L
8 Mayvs Stellenbosch0–0D
5 May@ Siwelele2–2D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Richards Bay – last 6

DLLDWD
11 Aug@ Chippa United1–1D
2 Augvs Polokwane City1–2L
23 May@ Magesi0–1L
6 Mayvs Polokwane City0–0D
19 Apr@ TS Galaxy1–0W
10 Aprvs Orlando Pirates2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Durban City v Richards Bay1–0
Durban City vs Richards Bay head-to-head page →

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

More Premier Soccer League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Durban City vs Richards Bay?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Durban City vs Richards Bay?

On our numbers Durban City have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Richards Bay 32%.

How many goals will there be in Durban City vs Richards Bay?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Durban City vs Richards Bay?

Our predicted score is Durban City 0–0 Richards Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Durban City vs Richards Bay?

Durban City vs Richards Bay (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Chatsworth Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.