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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mamelodi Sundowns v Siwelele: numbers & prediction

Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
3–0
FT
Mamelodi Sundowns 70%Draw 22%Siwelele 8% Expected goals 2.26 – 0.70
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mamelodi Sundowns welcome Siwelele to Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium for a Premier Soccer League fixture on Wednesday 9 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Siwelele are 14th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Golden Arrows, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Siwelele, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Kaizer Chiefs, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mamelodi Sundowns, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Siwelele.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 2.3 xG, Siwelele 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 70%, draw 22%, Siwelele 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.40.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Siwelele. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mamelodi Sundowns70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @5.10
Siwelele8%fair 13.31 · @13.50
2.96Expected goals
2.26Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.70Siwelele xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 2.3 – 0.7 Siwelele expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓70%1.421.25
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓92%1.081.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.40 ▲
Draw no betMamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapMamelodi Sundowns -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
First team to scoreMamelodi Sundowns to score first ✓72%1.38–
Half-time resultMamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

WWWWLW
6 Sep@ Golden Arrows2–1W
2 Sepvs Milford FC2–0W
30 Aug@ Golden Arrows3–2W
26 Augvs Amazulu5–2W
23 Augvs Golden Arrows0–1L
19 Augvs Marumo Gallants2–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Siwelele – last 6

LDLLDD
6 Sep@ Kaizer Chiefs2–3L
25 Augvs Chippa United1–1D
15 Aug@ Amazulu0–2L
12 Aug@ Milford FC0–1L
2 Augvs TS Galaxy2–2D
23 May@ Sekhukhune United2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele head-to-head page →

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Siwelele 8%.

How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Siwelele, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele?

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.