Mamelodi Sundowns 66%Draw 21%Durban City 13%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.68
66%
Betarazi pick
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Durban City travel to face Mamelodi Sundowns on Sunday 1 November in the Premier Soccer League, with Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Durban City are 13th (lower half) with 7. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marumo Gallants, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Durban City, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stellenbosch, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mamelodi Sundowns, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Durban City.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Durban City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 1.9 xG, Durban City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 66%, draw 21%, Durban City 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mamelodi Sundowns to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Durban City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mamelodi Sundowns66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.50
Durban City13%fair 7.42 · @10.00
2.53Expected goals
1.85Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.68Durban City xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 1.9 – 0.7 Durban City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
Our pick is Mamelodi Sundowns to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Durban City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Durban City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
