Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 July the Primera Division brings Firpo against Fuerte San Francisco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Firpo are 1st, leading the league, on 40 points after 20 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Firpo, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águila, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 1.9 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 66%, draw 21%, Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Firpo66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.95
Fuerte San Francisco14%fair 7.29 · @7.20
2.52Expected goals
1.85Firpo xG
0.66Fuerte San Francisco xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.9 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Firpo
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average
+20%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.72
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Firpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Firpo – last 6
DWDDWL
26 Jul
@ Águila
1–1
D
13 May
@ Águila
2–1
W
1 May
@ Águila
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs FAS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Batanecos
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Isidro Metapán
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
DLWWLD
26 Jul
vs Platense
1–1
D
1 May
vs Alianza
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Isidro Metapán
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Platense
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Zacatecoluca
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Platense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Firpo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
