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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cacahuatique v Fuerte San Francisco: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
Cacahuatique 52%Draw 27%Fuerte San Francisco 21% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.21
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCacahuatique to win ✗52% · @1.83
Double chanceCacahuatique or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Primera Division brings Cacahuatique against Fuerte San Francisco. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Cacahuatique are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 20 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Cacahuatique, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Águila, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cacahuatique 1.8 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cacahuatique 52%, draw 27%, Fuerte San Francisco 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cacahuatique or draw (79%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cacahuatique 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cacahuatique52%fair 1.92 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.35
Fuerte San Francisco21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
3.06Expected goals
1.84Cacahuatique xG
1.21Fuerte San Francisco xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cacahuatique 1.8 – 1.2 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CacahuatiqueFuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average-16%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+21%
Our expected goals here1.491.09

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCacahuatique to win ✗52%1.921.83
Double chanceCacahuatique or draw ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.93 ▲
Draw no betCacahuatique (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapFuerte San Francisco +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.952.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreCacahuatique to score first ✗57%1.74–
Half-time resultCacahuatique ahead at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cacahuatique / FT Cacahuatique ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Cacahuatique – last 6

DWLDWL
2 Augvs Águila2–2D
28 Julvs Atletico Balboa4–2W
25 Julvs Isidro Metapán2–4L
7 Mayvs FAS1–1D
1 May@ Municipal Limeño3–2W
20 Apr@ FAS0–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

DLDLWW
1 Augvs Inter2–2D
30 Jul@ Firpo0–4L
26 Julvs Platense1–1D
1 Mayvs Alianza0–1L
26 Apr@ Isidro Metapán3–1W
21 Aprvs Platense1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cacahuatique and Fuerte San Francisco.

Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

On our numbers Cacahuatique have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fuerte San Francisco 21%.

How many goals will there be in Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our predicted score is Cacahuatique 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.