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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Isidro Metapán v Alianza: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
2–0
FT

Alianza

WDLLW
Isidro Metapán 46%Draw 24%Alianza 30% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.96
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Isidro Metapán vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza travel to face Isidro Metapán on Sunday 23 August in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Isidro Metapán are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.

Current form

Isidro Metapán, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fuerte San Francisco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Alianza, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CD Marathon, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Isidro Metapán 1–1 Alianza. The last 3 head-to-heads: Isidro Metapán 0 wins, Alianza 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Isidro Metapán 1.3 xG, Alianza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Isidro Metapán 46%, draw 24%, Alianza 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Isidro Metapán 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Isidro Metapán46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Alianza30%fair 3.37 · @3.50
2.25Expected goals
1.29Isidro Metapán xG
0.96Alianza xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.3 – 1.0 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIsidro Metapán to win ✓46%2.172.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betIsidro Metapán (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreIsidro Metapán to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán ✓26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Isidro Metapán – last 6

LWDWWL
15 Aug@ Fuerte San Francisco0–1L
8 Augvs Águila2–1W
2 Aug@ Atletico Balboa0–0D
31 Julvs FAS2–0W
25 Jul@ Cacahuatique4–2W
1 May@ Hércules0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alianza – last 6

WDLLWW
20 Aug@ CD Marathon1–0W
16 Augvs Cacahuatique0–0D
12 Aug@ Real Estelí1–3L
9 Aug@ Inter0–2L
6 Augvs CS Herediano1–0W
30 Julvs Antigua GFC2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza1–1
8 Apr 2026Alianza v Isidro Metapán3–1
2 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza0–0
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?

On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza 30%.

How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?

Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?

Isidro Metapán vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.